Section Thirty Two

Technological Forecasting

 

TOPICS COVERED IN THIS SECTION INCLUDE:

Modified: April 13, 2016

Afuah, A.N. and Utterback, J.M., "The Emergence of a New Supercomputer Architecture", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 40, No. 4, December, 1991, pp. 315-328

Aichholzer, Georg, "The Austrian Foresight Program: Organization and Expert Profile", International Journal of Technology Management, Vol. 21, Nos. 7/8, 2001, pp. 739-755

Albright, R.E., "What Can Past Technology Forecasts Tell Us About the Future?", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 69, No. 5, June, 2002, pp. 443-464

Amara, Roy, "Views on Futures Research Methodology", Futures, Vol. 23, No. 6, July/August, 1991, pp. 645-649

Amara, Roy, "A Note on What We Have Learned About the Methods of Futures Planning", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 36, Nos. 1/2, August, 1989, pp. 43-47

Anderson, Philip W. and Tushman, M.L., "Technological Discontinuities and Dominant Designs: A Cyclical Model of Technological Change", Administrative Science Quarterly, Vol. 35, No. 4, December, 1990, pp. 604-633

Anderson, Timothy R., Daim, Tugrul U. and Kim, Jisun, "Technology Forecasting for Wireless Communication", Technovation, Vol. 28, No. 9, September, 2008, pp. 602-614

Apacki, Kenneth, "Technology Monitoring at Owens-Corning Fiberglas", Journal of the Society of Research Administrators, Vol. 7, No. 2, Fall, 1975, pp. 41-46

Arabie, Phipps, Maschmeyer, C.J. and Carroll, J.D., "Impact Scaling: Method and Application", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 32, No. 3, November, 1987, pp. 245-272

Arai, Tamio, "Forecast of Assembly Automation in the Automobile Industry: Technological Progress in Robotics", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 35, Nos. 2/3, April, 1989, pp. 133-148

Archibugi, Daniele and Pianta, Mario, "Measuring Technological Change Through Patents and Innovation Surveys", Technovation, Vol. 16, No. 9, September, 1996, pp. 451-468

Armstrong, J.S., "Long-Range Forecasting", 2nd edition, New York: Wiley, 1985

Armstrong, J. Scott and Yokum, J. Thomas, "Potential Diffusion of Expert Systems in Forecasting", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 67, No. 1, May, 2001, pp. 93-103

Arnfield, R.V. ed., "Technological Forecasting", Edinburgh: Edinburgh University Press, 1969

Ascher, W., "Problems of Forecasting and Technology Assessment", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 13, No. 2, February, 1979, pp. 149-156

Ayers, F.T., "The Management of Technological Risk", Research Management, Vol. 20, No. 6, November, 1977, pp. 24-28

Ayres, Robert U., "Structural Economics: Measuring Change in Technology, Lifestyles and the Environment", Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Vol. 11, No. 3, 2000, pp. 365-366

Ayres, Robert U. "Technological Progress: A Proposed Measure", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol 59, No. 3, November, 1998, pp. 213-235

Ayres, Robert U., "What Have We Learned?", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 62, Nos. 1-2, August/September, 1999, pp. 9-12

Ayers, R.U., "The Future of Technological Forecasting", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 36, Nos. 1/2, August, 1989, pp. 49-60

Ayers, R.U., "Technological Forecasting and Long-Range Planning", New York: McGraw-Hill, 1969

Ayers, R.U.,"On Technological Forecasting", Report HI-484-DP (Rev), Harmon-on-Hudson, Hudson Institute, January, 1966

Ayers, R.U. and Shapanka, Adele, "Explicit Technological Substitution Forecasts in Long-range Input-Output Models", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 9, No. 1/2, 1976, pp. 113-138

Ayres, Robert U., "Toward a Non-linear Dynamics of Technological Progress", Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, Vol. 24, No. 1, June, 1994, pp. 35-69

Balachandra, R., "Perceived Usefulness of Technological Forecasting Techniques", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 16, No. 2, February, 1980, pp. 155-166

Balachandra, R., "Technological Forecasting - Who Does It and How Useful Is It", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 16, No. 1, January, 1980, pp. 75-86

Belis-Bergouignan, Marie-Claude, Lung, Yannick and Héraud, Jean-Alain, "Public Foresight Exercises at an Intermediate Level: the French National Programs and the Experience of Bordeaux", International Journal of Technology Management, Vol. 21, Nos. 7/8, 2001, pp. 726-738

Benarie, Michel, "Delphi- and Delphilike Approaches with Special Regard to Environmental Standard Setting", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 33, No. 2, April, 1988, pp. 149- 158

Bhargava, S.C., Sahni, Vikas, Srivastava, P.K. and Varma, V.S., "Some Comments on Chaos and Fractals: New Tools for Technological and Social Forecasting", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 38, No. 4, December, 1990, pp. 323-331

Bhattacharya, Sujit and Khan, Moh'd T.R., "Monitoring Technology Trends through Patent Analysis: a Case Study of Thin Film", Research Evaluation, Vol. 10, No. 1, April, 2001, pp. 33-45

Biondi, Leonardo and Galli, Riccardo, "Technological Trajectories", Futures, Vol. 24, No. 6, July/August, 1992, pp. 580-592

Blackman Jr., A.W., "New Venture Planning: The Role of Technological Forecasting", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 5, No. 1, 1973, pp. 25-49

Blancett, Robert S., "Learning from Productivity Learning Curves", Research-Technology Management, Vol. 45, No. 3, May-June, 2002, pp. 54-58

Blind, Knut, Cuhls, Kerstin and Grupp, Hariolf, "Current Foresight Activities in Central Europe", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 60, No. 1, January 1999, pp. 15-35

Bodger, P.S. and Tay, H.S., "Trend Extrapolation in Long-term Forecasting: An Investigation Using New Zealand Electricity Consumption Data", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 30, No. 2, September, 1986, pp. 167-188

Bodger, P.S., Hayes, D.J. and Baines, J.T., "The Dynamics of Primary Energy Substitution", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 36, No. 4, December, 1989, pp. 425-439

Boly, Vincent, Morel, Laure, Renaud, Jean and Guidat, Claudine, "Innovation in Low Tech SMBs: Evidence of a Necessary Constructivist Approach", Technovation, Vol. 20, No. 3, March, 2000, pp. 161-168

Bowander, B. and Miyake, T., "Technology Forecasting in Japan", Futures, Vol. 25, No. 7, September, 1993, pp. 757-777

Bowander, B. and Rohatgi, P.K., "Technological Forecasting: Applicability, Relevance and Future Crisis Analysis in a Developing Country", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 7, No. 3, 1975, pp. 233-256

Bowonder, B., Miyake, T. and Muralidharan, B., "Predicting the Future: Lessons From Evolutionary Theory", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 62, Nos. 1-2, August/September, 1999, pp. 51-62

Breiner, Sibylle, Cuhls, Kerstin and Grupp, Hariolf, "Technology Foresight Using a Delphi Approach: A Japanese-German Co-operation", R&D Management, Vol. 24, No. 2, April, 1994, pp. 141-153

Bretschneider, Stuart and Bozeman, Barry, "Adaptive Diffusion Models for the Growth of Robotics in New York State Industry", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 30, No. 3, November, 1986, pp. 111-121

Bright, J.R., "Improving the Industrial Anticipation of Current Scientific Activity", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 29, No. 1, February, 1986, pp. 1-12

Bright, J.R., "Technology Forecasting Literature: Emergence and Impact on Technological Innovation", in Technological Innovation: A Critical Review of Current Knowledge, P. Kelly, M. Kranzberg, et al, Advanced Technology and Science Studies Group, Georgia Tech, Atlanta, GA, February, 1975, Vol. 2, pp. 369-475

Bright, J.R., "Technology Forecasting - New Tools for an Old Responsibility", Research Management, Vol. 15, No. 4, July, 1972, pp. 50-65

Bright, J.R., "Evaluating Signals of Technological Change", Harvard Business Review, Vol. 48, No. 1, January-February, 1970, pp. 62-70

Bright, J.R. ed., "Technological Forecasting for Industry and Government", Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall, 1968

Bright, J.R. and Schoeman, M., "A Guide to Practical Technology Forecasting", Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall, 1972

Brody, Herb, "Great Expectations: Why Technology Predictions Go Awry", Technology Review, Vol. 94, No. 5, July, 1991, pp. 38-44; also in Engineering Management Review, Vol. 19, No. 3, Fall, 1991, pp. 20-23

Brown Jr., G.E., "The Future of Remote Sensing: It Will be Great if it Ever Arrives", Technology In Society, Vol. 11, No. 1, 1989, pp. 41-47

Brown, J.H. and Cheaney, E.S., "Report on a Study of Future Research Activity and Pertinent Forecasting Techniques for Battelle's Trends in Research Study", Columbus, OH: Battelle Memorial Institute, Columbus, OH, 1965

Brown, S.J.S., "Holography - A Current Perspective", Technovation, Vol. 9, No. 6, October, 1989, pp. 505-517

Brownlie, D.T., "The Role of Technology Forecasting and Planning: Formulating Business Strategy", Industrial Management & Data Systems, Vol. 92, No. 2, 1992, pp. 3-16

Bruno, A.V., Bibbens, T.E. and Digiovanni, J.J., "A Reassessment of Technological Forecasting in a Small Company", Sloan Management Review, Vol. 15, No. 3, Spring, 1974, pp. 89-96

Bruno, A.V., Montgomery, J.D. and Capener, Erwin, "Technological Forecasting in Small Companies", Sloan Management Review, Vol. 15, No. 1, Fall, 1973, pp. 49-63

Brunner, Ronald, D., "Predictions and Policy Decisions", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 62, Nos. 1-2, August/September, 1999, pp. 73-78

Buttner, F.H. and Lanford, H.W., "Technology Development: Determining What to Forecast", Industrial Marketing Management, Vol. 9, No. 3, July, 1980, pp. 187-199

Campbell, Katherine and Helleloid, Duane, "An Exercise to Explore the Future Impact of New Technologies", Journal of Product Innovation Management, Vol. 19, No. 1, January, 2002, pp. 69-80

Carlson, Lockwood W., "Using Technology Foresight to Create Business Value", Research-Technology Management, Vol. 47, No. 5, September-October, 2004, pp. 51-60

Caruso, Andrea, "The Future of Satellites and Electronic Media in Europe", International Journal of Technology Management, Vol. 7, Nos. 6-8, 1992, pp. 572-576

Cauffiel, David A. and Porter, Alan L., "Electronics Manufacturing in 2020: A National Technological University Management of Technology Mini-Delphi", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 51, No. 2, February, 1996, pp. 185-194

Cetron, M.J., "Forecasting Technology", in The Science of Managing Organized Technology, M.J. Cetron and J.D. Goldhar, eds., New York: Gordon & Breach, 1970, pp. 807-823

Cetron, M.J., "Technological Forecasting, A Practical Approach", New York: Gordon & Breach, 1969

Cetron, M.J., "Using Technical Forecasts", Science and Technology, No. 79, July, 1968, pp. 57-63

Cetron, M.J. and Dick, D.N., "Technological Forecasting - Practical Problems and Pitfalls", IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, Vol. EM-16, No. 4, November, 1969, pp. 161-172

Cetron, M.J. and Johnson, J.N., "Technological Forecasting in a Dynamic Environment", IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, Vol. EM-16, No. 4, November, 1969, pp. 190-222

Cetron, M.J. and Mahinske, E.B., "The Value of Technological Forecasting for the Research and Development Manager", Futures, Vol. 1, No. 1, September, 1968, pp. 21-33

Cetron, M.J. and Monohan, T., "An Evaluation and Appraisal of Various Approaches to Technological Forecasting", in Technological Forecasting for Industry and Government, J. R. Bright, ed., Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall, 1968, pp. 144-179

Cetron, M.J. and Ralph, C.A., "Industrial Applications of Technological Forecasting: Its Utilization in R&D Management", New York: Wiley - Interscience, 1971

Cetron, M.J. and Weiser, A.L., "Technological Change, Technological Forecasting and Planning R&D - A View from the Managers Desk", in The Science of Managing Organized Technology, M.J. Cetron and J.D. Goldhar, eds., New York: Gordon and Breach, 1970, pp. 1529-1555

Chablo, Alexander, "Potential Applications of Artificial Intelligence in Telecommunications", Technovation, Vol. 14, No. 7, September, 1994, pp. 431-435

Chacko, George K., "Chief Technology Officers (CTOs) in Historic Survival Decisions of Countries and Corporations", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 62, Nos. 1-2, August/September, 1999, pp. 41-50

Chacko, G.K., "Technological Forecontrol: Prospects, Problems and Policy", Amsterdam: North-Holland Publishing Co., 1975

Chakrvarti, A.K., Vasanta, B., Krishnan, A.S.A. and Dubash, R.K., "Modified Delphi Methodology for Technology Forecasting: Case Study of Electronics and Information Technology in India", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol 58, Nos. 1-2, May/June, 1998, pp. 155-165

Chen, Kan, "Generation Dynamics in Computer-Integrated Manufacturing Systems", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 31, No. 1, March, 1987, pp. 19-26

Cho, Yonghee, Yoon, Seong-Pil and Kim, Karp-Soo, "An Industrial Technology Roadmap for Supporting Public R&D Planning", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 107, June, 2016, pp. 1-12

Cho, Y.Y., Jeong, G.H. and Kim, S.H., "A Delphi Technology Forecasting Approach Using a Semi-Markov Concept", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 40, No. 3, November, 1991, pp. 273-287

Clarke, A.C., "Profiles of the Future - An Enquiry Into the Limits of the Possible", London: Victor Gollancz Ltd., 1962

Clarke Sr., Dana W., "Strategically Evolving the Future: Directed Evolution and Technological Systems Development", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 64, Nos. 2/3, June/July, 2000, pp. 133-153

Coates, Joseph F., "Tomorrow's Engineer", Research-Technology Management, Vol. 51, No. 1, January-February, 2008, pp. 7-8

Coates, Joseph F., "Coming to Grips with the Future", Research-Technology Management, Vol. 47, No. 5, September-October, 2004, pp. 23-32

Coates, Joseph F., "More Lessons from the Fiber-Optic Meltdown", Research-Technology Management, Vol. 45, No. 1, January-February, 2002, pp. 10-12

Coates, Joseph F., "Innovation in the Future of Engineering Design", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 64, Nos. 2/3, June/July, 2000, pp. 121-132

Coates, Joseph F., "Getting at Assumptions is Troublesome", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 62, Nos. 1-2, August/September, 1999, pp. 97-99

Coates, Joseph F., "Boom Time in Forecasting", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 62, Nos. 1-2, August/September, 1999, pp. 37-40

Coates, Joseph F., "Opportunities and Consequences in Science and Technology", Research-Technology Management, Vol. 42, No. 1, January-February, 1999, pp. 36-41

Coates, Joseph F., "Long-term Technological Trends and their Implications for Management", International Journal of Technology Management, Vol. 14, Nos. 6-8, 1997, pp. 579-595

Coates, Joseph F., "How To Recognize a Sound Technology Forecast", Research-Technology Management, Vol. 38, No. 5, September-October, 1995, pp. 11-12

Coates, J.F., "Trends Shaping the Materials Revolution", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 41, No. 2, March, 1992, pp. 189-193

Coates, J.F., "The Sixteen Sources of Environmental Problems in the 21st Century", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 40, No. 1, August, 1991, 87-91

Coates, J.F., "Forecasting and Planning Today Plus or Minus Twenty Years", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 36, Nos. 1-2, August, 1989, pp. 15-20

Coates, Joseph F., Mahaffie, John B. and Hines, Andy, "Technological Forecasting: 1970-1993", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 47, No. 1, September, 1994, pp. 23-33

Coates, Vary, Farooque, Mahmud, Klavans, Richard, Lapid, Koty, Linstone, Harold A., Pistorius, Carl and Porter, Alan L., "On the Future of Technological Forecasting", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 67, No. 1, May, 2001, pp. 1-17

Coenen, R., "The Use of Technological Forecasts in Government Planning", Research Policy, Vol. 1, No. 2, April, 1972, pp. 156- 172

Cohn, Steve, "Paradigm Debates in Nuclear Cost Forecasting", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 40, No. 2, September, 1991, pp. 103-130

Cuhls, Kerstin and Blind, Knut, "Foresight in Germany: the Example of the Delphi '98 or: How Can the Future Be Shaped?", International Journal of Technology Management, Vol. 21, Nos. 7/8, 2001, pp. 767-780

Currill, D.L., "Technological Forecasting in Six Major U.K. Companies"', Long Range Planning, Vol. 5, No. 1, March, 1972, pp. 72-77

Currill, D.L., "The Implications of Technological Forecasting for R&D", Research Report, Bradford: University of Bradford, June 1970

Dede, C.J., "Probable Evolution of Artificial-Intelligence-Based Educational Devices", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 34, No. 2, September, 1988, pp. 115-133

De V. Steyn, Herman and De Wet, Gideon, "Technological Limits and the Hierarchy of Product Systems", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 46, No. 1, May, 1994, pp. 11-15

Dietz, Thomas, "Methods for Analyzing Data from Delphi Panels: Some Evidence from a Forecasting Study", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 31, No. 1, March, 1987, pp. 79-85

Dosi, Giovanni, "Technological Paradigms and Technological Trajectories", Research Policy, Vol. 11, No. 3, June, 1982, pp. 147- 162

Doyle, John, "Serial, Parallel and Neural Computers: Technological Trajectories in the Future of Computing", Futures, Vol. 23, No. 6, July/August, 1991, pp. 577-593

Dror, Israel, "Forecasting Technologies Within Their Socioeconomic Framework", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 34, No. 1, August, 1988, pp. 69-80

Dror, Yehezkel, "Policy Reasoning for Forecasting", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 36, Nos. 1/2, August, 1989, pp. 99-104

Dunn, M.J., Harnden, B.M. and Maher, P.M., "The Use of Technological Forecasting Techniques in Canada: A Research Note", Journal of Business Administration, Vol. 7, No. 2, Spring, 1976, pp. 105- 115

du Preez, Gert T. and Pistorius, Carl W.I., "Technological Threat and Opportunity Assessment", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 61, No. 3, July, 1999, pp. 215-234

Edge, Gordon, "Thinking About the Technology Future", R&D Management, Vol. 25, No. 2, April, 1995, pp. 117-128

Ehrnberg, Ellinor and Jacobsson, Staffan, "Indicators of Discontinuous Technological Change: An Exploratory Study of Two Discontinuities in the Machine Tool Industry", R&D Management, Vol. 27, No 2, April, 1997, pp. 107-126

EIRMA, "Technology Monitoring for Business Success", Working Group Report No. 55, European Industrial Research Management Association, 34 Rue de Bassano 75008, Paris, France, 1999

EIRMA, "Technological Forecasting and Long Range Planning", Working Group Report No. 10, and Stuttgart Conference Papers, Vol. 12, Paris: European Industrial Research Management Association, 1973

Elzinga, Aant, "Technology Forecasting", in Managing High Technology, B.W. Mar, W.T. Newell and B.O. Saxberg, eds., New York: Elsevier Science Publishers, 1985, pp. 309-318

Esposito, Emilio and Mastroianni, Michele, "Technolical Evolution of Personal Computers and Market Implications", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol 59, No. 3, November, 1998, pp. 235-254

Eschenbach, T.G., "Describing the Uncertainty in Technological Forecasts", in Managing Technology in a Competitive International Environment, Proceedings of the Second International Conference on Engineering Management, Toronto, Ontario, September 10-13, 1989, pp. 298-302

Eto, Hajime, "Fuzzy Operational Approach to Analysis of Delphi Forecasting", R&D Management, Special Issue, 1978, pp. 151-153

Farrell, Christopher J., "A Theory of Technological Progress", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 44, No. 2, September, 1993, pp. 161-178

Freeman, Christopher, "If I Ruled the World", Science and Public Policy, Vol. 28, No. 6, December, 2001, pp. 477-479

Frenken, Koen and Leydesdorff, Loet, "Scaling Trajectories in Civil Aircraft (1913-1997)", Research Policy, Vol. 29, No. 3, March, 2000, pp. 331-348

Fusfeld, Alan, "The Technological Progress Function: A New Technique for Forecasting", Technological Forecasting, Vol. 1, No. 3, March, 1970, pp. 301-312

Galanc, Tadeusz and Mikus, Jan, "The Choice of an Optimum Group of Experts", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 30, No. 3, November, 1986, pp. 245-250

Gardo, V.D. and Patel, R.R., "Technological Forecasting for Power Generation - A Study Using the Delphi Technique", Long Range Planning, Vol. 18, No. 4, August, 1985, pp. 73-79

Garud, Raghu and Rappa, Michael A., "A Socio-cognitive Model of Technology Evolution: The Case of the Cochlear Implants", Organization Science, Vol. 5, No. 3, August, 1994, pp. 344-362

Gechele, G.B., "Evaluating Industrial Technological Forecasting", Long Range Planning, Vol. 9, No. 4, August, 1976, pp. 76-81

Gerybadze, Alexander, "Technology Forecasting as a Process of Organisational Intelligence", R&D Management, Vol. 24, No. 2, April, 1994, pp. 131140

Gerstenfeld, Arthur, "Technological Forecasting", in Effective Management of Research and Development (Ch. 10), Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley, 1970, pp. 117-135

Gilbertson, D.W. and Campbell-Hunt, D.M., "Quick Environmental Scanning: A New Zealand Application", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 37, No. 4, July, 1990, pp. 371-382

Girifalco, L., "The Dynamics of Technological Change", New York: Van Nostrand Reinhold, 1991

Glasser, Alan, "Technical Role in Competition Analysis", International Journal of Technology Management, "Part 1: Key Concepts", Vol. 1, Nos. 1/2, 1986, pp. 231-242; "Part 2: Examples of Competition Analysis", Vol. 1, Nos. 3/4, 1986, pp. 477-489; "Part 3: Case Study of Competition Analysis", Vol. 2, No. 1, 1987, pp. 119-127

Glenn, Jerome C. and Gordon, Theodore J., "The Millennium Project: 1997 State of the Future - Implications for Actions Today", "Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol 56, No. 3, November 1997, pp. 203-296

Gobble, MaryAnne M., "Industry-defined Fundamental Research: Creating an Agenda for Basic Research", Research-Technology Management, Vol. 53, No. 5, September-October, 2010, pp. 55-62

Golovanov, L.V. and Sarkisyan, S.A., "Forecasting the Development of Large Technical Systems", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 12, Nos. 2/3, August, 1978, pp. 175-184

Gordon, Theodore Jay, "The Prospects for Accuracy and Completeness in Forecasting", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 62, Nos. 1-2, August/September, 1999, pp. 63-71

Gordon, T.J., "Futures Research: Did It Meet Its Promise? Can It Meet Its Promise?", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 36, Nos. 1/2, August, 1989, pp. 21-26

Gordon, T.J. and Greenspan, David, "Chaos and Fractals: New Tools for Technological and Social Forecasting", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 34, No. 1, August, 1988, pp. 1-25

Grupp, Hariolf and Linstone, Harold A., "National technology Foresight Activities Around the Globe: Resurrection and New Paradigms", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 60, No. 1, January 1999, pp. 85-94

Guice, Jon, "Designing the Future: the Culture of New Trends in Science and Technology", Research Policy, Vol. 28, No. 1, January, 1999, pp. 81-98

Halal, William E., Kull, Michael D., and Leffmann, Ann, "The GWU Forecast of Emerging Technologies: A Continuous Assessment of the Technology Revolution", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol 59, No.1, September, 1998, pp. 89-110

Hansson, P.A., "Nanotechnology: Prospects and Policies", Futures, Vol. 23, No. 8, October, 1991, pp. 849-859

Hauptman, Oscar and Gottinger, Hans-Werner, "Technological Forecasting and Strategic Decision Making", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 42, No. 2, September, 1992, pp. 101-105

Hauptman, Oscar and Pope, S.L., "The Process of Applied Technology Forecasting: A Study of Executive Analysis, Anticipation, and Planning", Technology Forecasting & Social Change, Vol. 42, No. 2, September, 1992, pp. 193-211

Hayya, J.C., Chan, K.H. and Petras, S.M., "An Assessment and Critique of Technological Forecasting", presented at the 22nd International Meeting of the Institute of Management Sciences, Kyoto, Japan, July, 1975

Helmer, Olaf, "The Past and Future of Futures Research", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 62, Nos. 1-2, August/September, 1999, pp. 33-35

Henderson, Rebecca, "Of Life Cycles Real and Imaginary: The Unexpectedly Long Old Age of Optical Lithography", Research Policy, Vol. 24, No. 4, July, 1995, pp. 609-630

Héraud, Jean-Alain, "Current Foresight Activities in France, Spain and Italy", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 60, No. 1, January 1999, pp. 55-70

Herman, Robert, Ardekani, S.A. and Ausubel, J.H., "Dematerialization", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 38, No. 4, December, 1990, pp. 333-347

Hilbrink, J.O., "Economic Impact and Technical Change", IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management, Vol. 36, No. 1, February, 1989, pp. 37-46

Hoisi, Karin, Steizer, Tobias and Biala, Stefanie, "Forecasting Technological Discontinuities in the ICT Industry", Research Policy, Vol. 44, No. 2, March, 2015, pp. 522-532

Holroyd, P., "Some Recent Methodologies in Futures Studies: A Personal View", R&D Management, Vol. 9, No. 3, June, 1979, pp. 107-116

Hori, Hiroshi, "Macro-Engineering: A View from Japan", Technology In Society, Vol. 12, No. 1, 1990, pp. 45-63

Horn, Paul M., "Information Technology Will Change Everything", Research-Technology Management, Vol. 42, No. 1, January-February, 1999, pp. 42-47

Huss, W.R. and Honton, E.J., "Alternative Methods for Developing Business Scenarios", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 31, No. 3, May, 1987, pp. 219-238

Irvin, D.R., "Technology Forecasters - Soothsayers or Scientists?", IEEE Technology and Society Magazine, Vol. 12, No. 1, Spring, 1993, pp. 10-17

Irvine, John, and Martin, B.R., "Foresight in Science: Picking the Winners", London: Frances Pinter Publishers, 1984

Isenson, R.S., "Technological Forecasting in Perspective", Management Science, Vol. 13, No. 2, October, 1966, pp. B70-B82

Islas, Jorge, "The Gas Turbine: A New Technological Paradigm in Electricity Generation", Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 60, No. 2, February, 1999, pp. 129-148

Janszen, Felix H.A., "Innovation and the Materials Resolution", Technovation, Vol. 17, No. 10, October, 1997, pp. 549-556

Jantsch, E., "Toward a Methodology for Systematic Forecasting", Technological Forecasting, Vol. 1, No. 4, Spring, 1970, pp. 409- 419

Jantsch, E., "New Organizational Forms for Forecasting", Technological Forecasting, Vol. 1, No. 2, Fall, 1969, pp. 151-161

Jantsch, E., "Technological Forecasting in Corporate Planning", Long Range Planning, Vol. 1, No. 1, September, 1968, pp. 40-50

Jantsch, Erich, "Technological Forecasting in Perspective", Paris: OECD, 1967

Japp, Stephen Glen, "Synthetic Diamond Developments: Perspectives from Technology Analysis", R&D Management, Vol. 24, No. 2, April, 1994, pp. 175-181

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